Mount St Marys 
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 85.5382
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 A LIU NEC (11- 4, 89.4) 12-14
217 H Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 13-10
221 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 5-19
224 H UMBC America Eas ( 6- 7, 90.0) 4- 7
228 A Monmouth CAA ( 6- 7, 89.6) 5-14
307 A Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 9-16
314 H Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 9-17
321 H Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 8- 9
325 A Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 14-15
328 H Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 10- 9
404 A Canisius MAAC ( 3-11, 85.3) 12-10
411 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 8-14
418 H Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 12-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A LIU 12-14 -2 -5 + 3.23
217 H Queens 13-10 3 2 1.40
221 A Lafayette 5-19 -14 -6 -0.56
224 H UMBC 4- 7 -3 -3 0.06
228 A Monmouth 5-14 -9 -5 -1.55
307 A Marist 9-16 -7 -7 -0.35
314 H Sacred Heart 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.03
321 H Merrimack 8- 9 -1 -2 0.56
325 A Iona 14-15 -1 0 -0.91
328 H Manhattan 10- 9 1 2 -0.57
404 A Canisius 12-10 2 -1 + 3.18
411 A Quinnipiac 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.95
418 H Siena 12-14 -2 -3 1.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 H Sacred Heart 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.03
411 A Quinnipiac 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.95
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A LIU 12-14 -2 -5 + 3.23
404 A Canisius 12-10 2 -1 + 3.18
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A LIU (11- 4, 89.4) 12-14 -10.51 10.09 1.38 1.10 -5.03
3 H Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 13-10 -14.59 6.01 -1.38 1.10 10.21
3 A Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 5-19 -9.29 11.30 1.38 1.10 -4.36
3 H UMBC ( 6- 7, 90.0) 4- 7 -9.92 10.68 -1.38 1.10 -6.22
3 A Monmouth ( 6- 7, 89.6) 5-14 -10.29 10.31 1.38 1.10 -4.90
3 A Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 9-16 -9.08 11.52 1.38 1.10 -4.24
3 H Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 9-17 -9.02 11.58 -1.38 1.10 -5.72
3 H Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 8- 9 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 1.10 -7.05
3 A Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 14-15 -15.64 4.95 1.38 1.10 -7.85
3 H Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 10- 9 -14.56 6.04 -1.38 1.10 10.27
3 A Canisius ( 3-11, 85.3) 12-10 -14.56 6.04 1.38 1.10 16.32
3 A Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 8-14 -12.69 7.91 1.38 1.10 -6.23
3 H Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 12-14 -9.50 11.10 -1.38 1.10 -5.99
------
-20.79
|
winning pts = 36.8015 losing points = -57.5899
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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